Harbor Seals (P. vitulina), 1:2 observation to background ratio, seal subset of covariates, evaluated using all metrics

Random Forest Nowcast and Forecast

Boosted Trees Nowcast and Forecast

Maxnet Trees Nowcast and Forecast

GAM Nowcast and Forecast

GLM Nowcast and Forecast

Metrics

Metrics by model type

model_type	accuracy	roc_auc	boyce_cont	brier_class	tss_max
rf	0.8512397	0.9527439	0.7619750	0.0904803	0.8762195
bt	0.8842975	0.9134146	0.9789808	0.1296968	0.7774390
maxnet	0.8842975	0.9420732	0.8644226	0.1006120	0.7512195
gam	0.8677686	0.9365854	0.7779584	0.0922342	0.7887195
glm	0.8760331	0.9329268	0.9417197	0.1016163	0.7530488

Variable Importance